Decisions on Complex Interdisciplinary Problems of Health and Environmental Risk (D-CIPHER) (2017-2018)
This project team aimed to improve holistic understanding of decisions about complex public health and environmental risks by generating comprehensive case study profiles on specific salient risks and related decisions. The project team brought together focused research expertise from a diverse array of disciplines to tell the story of (and reconsider) past risk-based scenarios from multiple angles.
In 2017-2018, the team focused on fluorinated chemicals. Introduced to replace toxic ammonia as a refrigerant in the 1920s, chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) were later found to deplete the stratospheric ozone layer. Bans resulted in ozone protection, but primary replacement chemicals are potent greenhouse gases, and some may be flammable or toxic.
The team examined each “decision node” along the story arc of the risk from a variety of vantage points, considering each key decision point, assessing what was known, assumed, decided and how that determined the path forward—and how each decision might have been improved.
The team assessed the engineering and scientific dimensions of the situation; the historical context of the risk; stakeholder perspectives, media and public coverage of the risk(s); the legal and regulatory framework, including statutes, agencies, oversight and potential new regulatory policies; and economic, behavioral, cultural, ethical and sociological considerations involved in identifying and evaluating risk mitigation options.
The team developed a suite of pedagogical tools, including templates for teaching modules on the risks of CFCs using aspects of the team’s methodology and reading guides, and an infographic poster.
Summer 2017 – Summer 2018
Khara D. Grieger, Tyler Felgenhaur, Ortwin Renn, Jonathan Wiener, Mark Borsuk. “Emerging Risk Governance for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection as a Climate Management Technology.” 2019. Environment Systems and Decisions
DeCIPHER: The Saga of CFCs, Ozone Depletion, and Climate Change (Mark Borsuk, Kathleen M. Burns, Ryan Calder, Christian Capobianco, Tyler Felgenhauer, Christine Gerbode, Christine Ogilvie Hendren, Elizabeth Hunsaker, Francesca Martella Kehl, Sandy Kendall, Jason Y. Lee, Tasfia Nayem, Holly Ren, Drew Shindell, Amalia Turner, Micaela Unda, Priscilla Wald, Ai Wang, Jonathan B. Wiener), presented at Bass Connections Showcase, April 18, 2018
This Team in the News
See related team DECIPHER: Case Studies in Drinking Water Quality (2018-2019).
- Mark Borsuk, Pratt School of Engineering-Civil & Environmental Engineering
- Richard Di Giulio, Nicholas School of the Environment
- Christine Ogilvie Hendren, Pratt School of Engineering-Civil & Environmental Engineering
- Drew Shindell, Nicholas School of the Environment-Earth and Climate Sciences
- Jonathan Wiener, Duke Law
/graduate Team Members
Kathleen Burns, English-PHD
Christian Capobianco, Bioethics and Sci Policy - AM
Christine Gerbode, Master of Environmental Management, Environmental Economics/Policy, Non Degree
Elizabeth Hunsaker, Chemistry-PHD
Yongwoo Lee, Master of Environmental Management, Environmental Economics/Policy
Tasfia Nayem, Master of Environmental Management, Environmental Economics/Policy
Amalia Turner, Civil & Environmental Engg-PHD
Ai Wang, Master of Environmental Management, Environmental Economics/Policy
/undergraduate Team Members
Alexandra Fisher, Public Policy Studies (AB), Religion (AB2)
Sandra Kendall, Political Science (AB)
Francesca Martella Kehl, Environmental Sciences (BS), GCS in Literature Progrm (AB2)
Holly Ren, Public Policy Studies (AB)
Micaela Unda, Environmental Sci/Policy (AB)
/yfaculty/staff Team Members
Lori Bennear, Nicholas School of the Environment-Environmental Sciences and Policy
Prasad Kasibhatla, Nicholas School of the Environment-Environmental Sciences and Policy
Peter Ubel, Fuqua School of Business
Priscilla Wald, Arts & Sciences-English
Robert Wolpert, Arts & Sciences-Statistical Science