Machine Learning Seminar: How the Chinese Government Fabricates Social Media Posts for Strategic Distraction, Not Engaged Argument

Wednesday, March 1, 2017 - 3:30pm to 5:00pm
Gary King

This talk is based on this paper (forthcoming in the American Political Science Review), by Jen Pan, Molly Roberts and me, along with a brief summary of our previous work.

Here's an abstract: The Chinese government has long been suspected of hiring as many as 2,000,000 people to surreptitiously insert huge numbers of pseudonymous and other deceptive writings into the stream of real social media posts, as if they were the genuine opinions of ordinary people. Many academics, and most journalists and activists, claim that these so-called "50c party" posts vociferously argue for the government's side in political and policy debates. As we show, this is also true of the vast majority of posts openly accused on social media of being 50c. Yet, almost no systematic empirical evidence exists for this claim, or, more importantly, for the Chinese regime's strategic objective in pursuing this activity. In the first large scale empirical analysis of this operation, we show how to identify the secretive authors of these posts, the posts written by them, and their content. We estimate that the government fabricates and posts about 448 million social media comments a year.

Contact:
919-684-9312
ariel.dawn@duke.edu